The US Open has come to an end, with Iga Swiatek winning the title, but the WTA Tour continues.
There are two hard court tournaments, Chennai and Portoroz, both presenting value for us to exploit!
Read below for my best bets and previews.
Note: Match times are subject to change. Read here for tips on viewing tennis matches.
Katie Swan (-135) against Arianne Hartono (+105)
7:30 a.m. ET, Chennai
Katie Swan hasn’t played in over a month, but she won the $60,000 hard-court event in Lexington in his last tournament. Swan had to beat tough competitors such as Katrina Scott and Jodie Burrage to lift the winner’s trophy. The win at Lexington was the biggest title of Swan’s career.
Swan is now 14-5 this season on hard courts and 128-64 overall on hard courts in his career. Swan doesn’t have overwhelming power, but she’s solid from both base wings. Her game isn’t completely helpless either, as she can effectively punch into openings when given the chance.
Arianne Hartono lost to Clara Burel in the second round of the US Open qualifiers. Hartono has struggled on hard courts this year, going 7-9. She has failed to win consecutive matches on hard courts since qualifying for the Australian Open in January.
Overall, Hartono has struggled in 2022, even off the hard courts. She’s 16-20 overall this season and hasn’t made a semifinal. Hartono tries to play power tennis from the baseline. She hits big from both wings, especially with her forehand, and tries to dictate play when she can.
Hartono will appear to be the aggressor in this game and will force Swan on the defensive. However, Swan is consistent with her groundstrokes and will extend rallies, forcing Hartono to cut her margins and go deeper than she wants. Unforced errors should then flow from Hartono’s racquet.
Swan has been the strongest hard court player this season and is finally finding her confidence to play more aggressive tennis from the baseline. Although she’s not a big hitter, I trust Swan to be efficient when putting away short balls and to be the most solid player on the floor overall.
Take: Swan ML (-135 via BetMGM)
Alize Cornet (-190) against Kaja Juvan (+145)
11:15 a.m. ET, Portorož
Alize Cornet reached the semis in Cleveland (on hard courts) and then made the US Open third round in her two most recent events. While the Frenchwoman is 12-14 on hard courts in 2022, she reached the quarter-finals of the Australian Open and went a solid 7-5 in the summer swing on hard courts. hard.
Cornet plays with controlled aggression on his backhand, which is Cornet’s best shot. Her movement is also vital to her game, as she is quick on the court and has excellent stamina. Opponents struggle to outlast Cornet in longer matches. And while Cornet’s forehand can be a little crazy, she’s able to get consistent depth off that wing and it’s not a major weakness.
Kaja Juvan has struggled a lot in recent weeks. Juvan is 0-4 since reaching the third round of Wimbledon, including an 0-3 record in the summer hard-court swing. The Slovenian lost 4-6, 4-6 to Cristina Bucsa in the first round of the US Open, winning just 33% of her comeback runs and hitting 24 game-winning runs against 34 unforced errors in the match.
Juvan has now lost his last five games in total on hard courts. While still 12-10 in 2022 and 63-48 as a hard pro, Juvan has totally lost her game recently. Juvan’s confidence is down, her rally tolerance has diminished and she no longer hits with the controlled aggression she once did.
While Juvan is the home player and will have the crowd on her side, she is not playing tennis well at the moment. Cornet is the more consistent of the two and she has the better shot on the court in her backhand.
When looking at the Elo ratings, Cornet’s overall Elo is 101 points higher than Juvan’s. Her Elo on hard ground is 102.3 points higher than that of the Slovenian.
Take: Cornet -3.5 games (-105 via BetMGM)
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