Racquetball Betting

Will Cameron Norrie stay competitive against Novak Djokovic?

With just three players remaining to challenge for the 2022 men’s title, Wimbledon is almost over.

Nick Kyrgios was due to face Rafael Nadal on Friday before the 22-time Grand Slam champion had to withdraw from the tournament with a torn abdominal. Krygios now has a bye to the championship game and sits at +300 to win his first Grand Slam on Sunday. He will face the winner of the other semi-final between six-time Wimbledon champion Novak Djokovic and Cameron Norrie.

Djokovic is two behind Nadal in the Slam title race, tied with Roger Federer at 20. Djoker entered the tournament as the favorite to win and his chances improved after Nadal withdrew. Djokovic is now a -400 favorite to win the title. His opponent, Norrie, is the first Briton to reach the last four at Wimbledon since Andy Murray won the title in 2016.

Here is how each player can win the match.

Novak Djokovic (-1400) against Cameron Norrie (+750)

Gap: 7.5

Game Total: 30.5

Why Novak Djokovic will win

Djokovic is the best player on grass not only on tour right now, but potentially of all time. For me, there are three greats on grass: Pete Sampras, Roger Federer and Djokovic. Yes, Djokovic has a full game with a lot of variety, and that’s what makes the Big Three the Big Three. He has all the weapons to be the biggest threat not only on grass but on all surfaces.

He is the best returner in the world. Its flexibility is what catches the eye and it is absolutely a contributing factor – but something that isn’t talked about enough is Djoker’s ability to read the serve. Have you ever noticed his squinting on the return before his opponent serves? What it does is analyze the motion of the ball toss down to how contact is made. Most players can hide their intention of the throw, but there is a moment when the ball is in the air about to make contact with the racket – that split second – and that’s what Djokovic is. able to read so well.

So now you’re talking about the greatest returner of all time on a surface where he greatly excels against a Norrie opponent who isn’t known for his serve. In the five games played, only 29% of Norrie’s first serves went unreturned. That’s 71% of his first serves in play. Djokovic will slap those serves hard and put them away.

How Cameron Norrie can… be competitive

My go-to strategy for all bets is to look for strength versus weakness. Sadly, there’s no part of Norrie’s game, no weapon he has, that can threaten Djokovic in a best-of-five. For the Briton to be at least competitive, Norrie must somehow find a way to dictate the game with his forehand. It is his greatest weapon and he must use it often.

What Norrie has going for him: his hometown crowd. That was what contributed to Norrie’s five-set victory over David Goffin in the quarter-finals. It’s hard to play against. In his career at Wimbledon, Djokovic has played four matches against British players. He went 3-1 in those matches, his only loss being to Andy Murray in the 2013 final. Two of his three wins came in four sets, including his opener of last year’s tournament against Jack Draper.

I have more confidence in Djoker domination. At the 2021 US Open, Norrie lost to Carlos Alcaraz in the first round 6-4, 7-4, 6-3 and that was before Carlitos was the player he is now. He lost to Nadal on his best surface, Roland Garros, 6-3, 6-3, 6-3, and before that lost to Nadal at the Australian Open 2021 7-5, 7-2, 7 -5. A win in straight sets has a very high probability. However, the crowd could help

Prediction: Djokovic will win in four sets or better

How to bet the Djokovic/Norrie match

Djokovic to win in straight sets is -180. It’s too risky for that much juice. Backing Djoker to win in four sets or better is -600, so it’s just not something you can bet on.

Option 1: Before the game, the only “value” bet I see is to take the OVER over 30.5 games. Maybe Norrie can keep this competitive for a set or two and either push a tiebreaker or drop a set or two 7-5.

Option 2: Look for an opportunity in the game. The number I would like to grab is Djokovic -6.5 games or better. It’s a break of serve in a three-set victory. If Norrie wins a set (+135), then the OVER hits. If Norrie wins a set, then Djokovic can unleash his next-level talents and still have a chance to cover the spread.

Novak Djokovic of Serbia gestures to the crowd as he takes on Jannik Sinner of Italy in a men’s singles quarter-final on day nine of the Wimbledon Tennis Championships in London on Tuesday July 5, 2022. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)